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SNP underming Labour gains?

Party Lo Seats Hi Swing
Conservatives 246 287 326 -19
Labour 231 271 316 13
SNP 26 42 54 36
Liberal Democrats 19 27 36 -30
DUP 7 8 10 -1
SDLP 1 3 3 0
Plaid Cymru 1 2 4 -1
Greens 0 1 1 0
UKIP 0 1 1 1
Other 7 8 10


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commented 2015-04-08 12:10:17 +0100
So vote Labour to get rid of the Tories.
I’m sure you will be keeping an eye on this Nick.
commented 2015-04-06 13:18:50 +0100
Hi Terry,
The table reflects a seat forecast the full methodology is available on the website;-
The forecast changes daily as polling information becomes available.
The forecast shows Labour to gain 19 seats, whilst the Conservatives lose 23, and the Liberal Democrats 30. This result would leave the Conservatives as the largest Party (by sixteen seats) returning them to No 10 as a minority government.
However there were 41 Labour MP’s in Scotland before the election but with the SNP forecast to gain 36 seats in Scotland – Labour are forecast to lose 30 Scottish seats. If those 30 seats remain Labour then Labour would become the largest Party and get the keys to Number 10.
So the assumption is that the English and Welsh forecasted gains for Labour are undermined by the losses to the SNP in Scotland. The map on the website gives a clear picture. Election Forecast are the research used by the BBC.

Hope that clarifies
commented 2015-04-06 11:35:57 +0100
Nick can you explain the figures? They are somewhat confusing.
published this page in Blog 2015-04-06 07:00:51 +0100

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